« What might have been [Jamie] | Main | It Has Been a Pleasure. . .[Steve Clemons] » 02 Sep 2007 07:43 pm Hillary and Barack's Tussle Over the Cuba Question [Steve Clemons]US-Cuba relations are not high on the roster of priorities for many Americans, and yet small moves in the terms of that relationship could have enormous political consequences. Recently, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama did battle over what their policies would be towards Cuba if elected President. That's right -- this was not a discussion of Israel/Palestine, or withdrawing from Iraq, or bombing Iran, or whether to talk to dictators without preconditions. This was about Cuba. Chris Dodd started things off with an eloquent statement about US-Cuba relations released through my blog, The Washington Note as well as my perch at The Huffington Post. Dodd set the gold standard in my view in articulating a policy that wasn't all warm and fuzzy about Castro but that spoke to America's 21st century economic and national security interests with Cuba in contrast to those who want to keep US-Cuba relations cocooned in an anachronistic Cold War era framework that has little relevancy today. Dodd wants to end the many decades old embargo. He wants to remove all travel restrictions -- and he wants to see commerce and trade begin to flow. He wants American people to meet Cubans and wants to trigger an arbitrage between the norms of our society and theirs. That is the American way. That's what we did with China. Now Hillary Clinton -- who has visited China and who supports relations with Vietnam and who has praised Assistant Secretary of State Chris Hill and Under Secretary of State R. Nicholas Burns on what seems so far to be fairly successful nuclear deal-making with North Korea -- has spoken out against change in America's stance towards Cuba and in favor of George W. Bush's position. Clinton doesn't support changing course in US-Cuba relations despite decades of failed results and seems to have no problem with something that Jeff Flake (R-AZ-6), the charismatic Republican Congressman from Arizona, does. Flake has said:
Hillary Clinton has stated quite clearly that she is content to stick with past policies -- those of President Bush -- when it comes to Cuba. But Barack Obama has a completely different view. While not quite up to the robustness of Chris Dodd's proposal, Obama wrote an oped for the Miami Herald, "Our Main Goal: Freedom in Cuba," calling for restrictions on family-related travel to end and increasing financial amounts that families could remit to loved ones inside Cuba. After he wrote the piece, Miami-Dade Democratic Party Chairman Joe Garcia -- who is also the former Executive Director of the Jorge Mas Canosa-run Cuban-American National Foundation, organized a large gathering of Miami citizens, an overwhelming number of whom were Cuban Americans, to meet with Obama. Most report that it was a super success. There were some protests -- but trivial compared to what one might have expected in Miami on this subject matter just a few years ago. How could this be? Hillary Clinton and those who want to keep US-Cuba relations in a cocooned, freeze-dried state have not looked at the recent polling data that show clearly that the Cuban-American voters in Florida are becoming divided over not only the family travel issue, but about the efficacy of the embargo itself. Again to quote Republican Congressman Jeff Flake:
Cuban-Americans from Miami have told me that the powerful triumvirate of Cuban-Americans from Miami -- Ileana-Ros-Lehtinen, Lincoln Diaz-Balart, and Mario Diaz-Balart (the brothers are coincidentally the nephews by a failed marriage of their aunt to Fidel Castro) -- are facing their most serious electoral challenges yet, as younger Cuban-Americans as well as older are shifting in their policy preferences when it comes to the Cuba travel ban and embargo. Recently, I went to Havana along with former State Department Chief of Staff Lawrence Wilkerson. Wilkerson is a blunt guy -- a military guy -- and doesn't suffer fools. He was Colin Powell's aide for sixteen years and served as his aide when Powell was Commander of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and also when Powell served as Secretary of the State. Wilkerson has published two sets of "reflections" on Cuba and US-Cuba relations at the newly hatched, The Havana Note. In the first, he starts with the admission that while Powell's chief of staff, he gave an "off the record" interview to GQ Magazine in which he said that our "US-Cuba policy was the stupidest policy on earth." Wilkerson writes:
On another front, well before any of us had heard of Michael Moore's Sicko, we became exposed to the new edge of Cuban power -- soft power -- in Latin America and elsewhere: the training and export of doctors. Say what you want about Castro, who has outlived an incredible number of US presidents and may be around a bit longer, but exporting doctors is wildly different than the export of guns and revolution, which was what Cuba was doing for decades. Here is an intro to Wilkerson's reflections of Cuba's national health care and medicine infrastructure and the global public diplomacy that they connect to it:
Those interested in the realities of Cuba's health care progress -- and the many lessons we can learn -- can skip the Michael Moore film and instead see Salud! In foreign policy circles, most people consider me to be a "realist". I consider myself a hybrid of a number of schools. I don't think that there are perfectly neat schools of thought any longer but whether I'm a 21st century evolved realist, an ethical realist, a progressive realist, or as Michael Lind would call me, a new American internationalist -- when I see US-Cuba realities as a manifestation of our failure to move forward in ways consistent with global needs and American interests, then my realist DNA perks up. Cuba and the Cuban population remember the fall of the Soviet Union and survived a devastating, tortuous shrinking of their economy (and their personal body weight). After the Russians, Venezuela cuddled up to the Cubans and now they essentially barter doctors and medical support for oil between each other. China is the second biggest economic partner of Cuba and has designs on developing the oil fields in Cuban waters estimated to be about 9-12 billion barrels. Americans are not there -- not involved. Benetton has a store in old Havana. British Petroleum -- which controls the Alaskan pipeline -- had a party on the roof of my hotel in Havana. Israeli firms are managing large citrus groves there. The Germans, Chinese, Australians, Canadians, Dutch, and Japanese are all visiting Havana and seeing the business opportunities. But Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuiliani, Fred Thompson, and John McCain all want to keep the Bush administration's restrictions on trade and travel in place. Lifting the travel ban makes the United States a more whole nation -- as travel is a natural right of ours, not to be taken away by our government. This right should be restored to all Americans in my view. But stepping away from the lofty for a moment, Hugo Chavez is not my favorite guy in Latin America. In my view, Chavez is a serious troublemaker made increasingly wealthy from high oil prices. He is an increasingly significant constraint on America's global options -- and to knock him back a respectable bit would be a good thing. Opening the travel pipe would steal from Chavez both the dependency and the affections of many Cubans and might send a very popular pro-American current through Cuba and much of Latin America. More on this later -- but Cuba does matter and is already a point of differentiation between Obama, Clinton, and Dodd. Fidel will not be around long in my estimation, and we need our political and policy leaders to begin plotting a policy not riveted in the past and not dominated by a shrinking cartel in Miami. TrackBack URL for this entry:http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d83451c45669e200e54ed5de018833 Listed below are links to weblogs that reference 'Hillary and Barack's Tussle Over the Cuba Question [Steve Clemons]' |
