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10 Sep 2007 03:31 pm

The Number Of Attacks

Attacks

Another Petraeus graph: showing again that the "surge," the Anbar tribe turn-around and the decision of Shiite militias to hold back while Maliki consolidates Shiite power have reduced the energy of the insurgency to levels of ... eighteen months ago. I don't see this as an end to the civil war, just an abatement. If you were worried about the insurgency in 2004, three years later, it is far, far stronger - and the political center has collapsed entirely. The tactical gains of the surge seem to have prevented a slide into an abyss - but not much more can be said at this point. And the announced aim of the surge - political reconciliation - has failed.

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Petraeus' Testimony
Excerpt: I've just read the transcript. My initial reaction is that Gen. Petraeus is by no rah-rahing modest but encouraging gains in securing Iraq over the last eight months. He noted that civilian casualties, while down, are still too high,...
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Tracked: Sep 10, 2007 8:51:44 PM