Saturday, December 1, 200701 Dec 2007 08:49 pm Slouching Away From GomorrahPete Wehner and Yuval Levin chart the enormous gains in various social indicators since the early 1990s. The one great anomaly is the family, which remains roughly where it was:
Wehner and Levin don't really have a coherent explanation for this - especially since social conservatives have long argued that the breakdown in traditional family structure is the core reason behind other social ills, such as crime. Perhaps it isn't in all social settings. Perhaps living in sin for a while before marriage is actually a social good for some; perhaps lower rates of marriage are not the end of the world - as many victims of awful marriages can attest. Perhaps child-birth outside marriage is not necessarily a bad thing if the relationship is solid and care for the child is secure. Perhaps, in other words, holding the family of the 1950s up as the standard by which all family structure should be measured is not, in fact, very helpful. I don't know, but it seems one obvious inference from the data worth exploring further. 01 Dec 2007 06:29 pm The View From Your WindowWilmington, Delaware, 2.45 pm. 01 Dec 2007 05:30 pm National Review's Fabulist ScandalThe Dish has it covered. Posts here, here, and here. 01 Dec 2007 04:59 pm Blogging The BrainSome very cool links from Chris Chatham. 01 Dec 2007 04:26 pm Torture In American History IIA reader writes:
Continue reading "Torture In American History II" » 01 Dec 2007 04:18 pm Beards!The online pro-follicle community continues to grow. Here's a hot-or-not beard page; a blog dedicated to growing beards to help battered women; and a no-shave November round-up. 01 Dec 2007 04:06 pm That Bible Question and MormonismNow we begin to understand why Romney struggled so much with that question in the YouTube debate about Biblical literalism. The question itself may have been a code attack on Mormonism itself. This LDS official statement is pretty clear:
I have a feeling a lot of evangelicals may be getting those sentences by email in the next few weeks. Now, of course, the imperfection of the Bible seems self-evident to me. It contradicts itself many times. But it sure doesn't look that way to fundamentalists and many evangelicals. And the question is broad enough to make it into legitimate mainstream discourse. So the evangelicals don't have to "go there" in attacking Romney's Mormonism directly, or raising some of its more eccentric doctrines; they can simply challenge Romney on Biblical literalism and tell their followers why a Mormon can't answer the question as well as Huckabee can. And it becomes very hard to tell them to knock it off: all they're doing is defending their own approach to Scripture. 01 Dec 2007 04:03 pm The Neurology of PornMacaque apes turn out to be like humans:
01 Dec 2007 03:17 pm Face Of The DayA child plays as he looks for fish in Southkali, 01 December 2007. More than 3,400 people are confirmed dead after the powerful storm ripped through Bangladesh's southern and central districts on November 15. Thousands more are missing feared dead and an estimated 280,000 without shelter. By Mehdi Fedouach/AFP/Getty Images. 01 Dec 2007 03:00 pm Strong Dollar, Better American Cheese , Economy"> , Food and Drink">
Well, let's look on the bright side, shall we? From The American:
01 Dec 2007 02:23 pm A Short History Of Energy PolicyNot exactly encouraging:
01 Dec 2007 02:14 pm A Lyric For Today
- "The Survivors", by Neil Tennant and Chris Lowe. 01 Dec 2007 01:25 pm Is Clinton Collapsing In New Hampshire?The new Rasmussen poll can't be encouraging for her. The trend is looking brutal:
Opinion Dynamics sees the same:
Now imagine if Obama wins Iowa. New Hampshire happens very shortly thereafter. Independents can vote in either primary. I've always thought that Obama is an obvious New Hampshire candidate: an insurgent, a straight-talker, with far more independent appeal than Clinton. If Iowa and New Hampshire fall to him, black voters in South Carolina could realize he's viable and flock from Clinton. If that happens, Mrs Inevitable is in big trouble. (I'd add that an Obama surge in New Hamsphire among Independents could finish off McCain - because, unlike 2000, they won't be voting in the Republican primary.) 01 Dec 2007 12:30 pm National Review Fabulist UpdateA reader writes:
Kenner's response to the NRO spin can be read here. My summary of the charges here. The alleged factual inaccuracy - reporting 4,000 Hezbollah gunmen when they didn't exist - dwarfs any alleged incident Beauchamp reported for TNR. 01 Dec 2007 12:26 pm A Coke vs Pepsi SmackdownFrom the annals of punny local TV news: 01 Dec 2007 11:43 am National Review's Fabulist ScandalWhat goes around, I guess ... My take on the story they buried on a Friday afternoon can be read here. Kevin adds:
Insta-silence, natch. But he does manage to attack The New Republic again this morning! 01 Dec 2007 11:35 am The Environmental Consciousness of HuntersFrank Miniter explains:
01 Dec 2007 10:43 am The View From Your WindowDubuque, Iowa, 8.57 am. 01 Dec 2007 10:24 am Huckabee's Call From GodA rip-off, of course. And the original was funnier and less inappopriate. And by a lesbian! 01 Dec 2007 09:22 am All Over The Place , Conservatism"> , Debate"> , Politics"> , Republicans">
James Poulos looks at various blog-responses to this week's GOP debate and sees nothing but wild incoherence and continuing conflict:
I think it's clear that the Republicans will run on staying in Iraq indefinitely. And that could well be their undoing. 01 Dec 2007 08:46 am Banksy Does New YorkA London hipster opens in Chelsea next week. One critic laments:
But Brad Pitt loves him! (Image from Vanina Holasek Gallery.) 01 Dec 2007 07:15 am Monopoly and WWII , Pop Culture">
For all you war-history buffs, a classic tale:
Friday, November 30, 200730 Nov 2007 08:03 pm Rudy's ThugsThe small man in search of a balcony, like all two-bit bullies, has the usual thuggish security detail. And he doesn't like being forced to respond to allegations about his shady past:
If his goons act like this on a minor issue in a primary campaign, can you imagine how he'd handle his police powers as president? 30 Nov 2007 07:53 pm And So The Zeitgeist ShiftsMy Atlantic essay on the transformational potential of Obama can be read here. 30 Nov 2007 07:19 pm Tom Toles Skewers His EmployerMakes me love him all the more. 30 Nov 2007 06:49 pm National Review's Fabulist?Read these two items, dropped into the blogosphere late on a Friday afternoon: Smith's defense and Lopez's editorial note. It's somewhat shady that Smith does not provide links in his apology to his original disputed stories, doesn't name or link to his critics, and appears, by his own account, to have reported events and facts that were actually relayed to him by anonymous sources as if he had seen them himself. Here's a flavor of the kind of issue involved:
On another matter:
Hmmm. I'll leave the follow-up to others. I'm not an expert in the area, and have only read the two posts linked above. As Smith and Lopez assumed, I'm headed home now for the weekend. But let's see if these reportorial exaggerations and alleged fictions get as much scrutiny in the right-wing blogosphere as the TNR Beauchamp contretemps. I'll be especially curious to see what Howie Kurtz and Glenn Reynolds do with the story. How many posts did the Corner have on two minor factual issues - still unresolved - in a TNR Diarist? How much preening and posturing has Reynolds done with respect to Beauchamp? And this is on a blog by a reporter still employed by NRO, with a long history of writing for the publication. For those interested in examining Smith's archive, it's probably a good place to start some more fact-checking. What goes around ... Or as Drudge would put it, developing ... 30 Nov 2007 06:06 pm The Mechanical NaturalNotCot raves about the art of Eric Feng, aka Feric:
The very cool online gallery is here. 30 Nov 2007 05:29 pm How Green Is Marijuana? , Drugs"> , Environmentalism">
Not as eco-friendly as you might think. More reason to bring California's biggest cash-crop into the legal economy. (Hat tip: Utne.) 30 Nov 2007 05:16 pm Huckabee Talks To God , Huckabee"> , Politics"> , Religion">
By cell-phone, of course. Anyone else would make this seem horrifying. And it is, of course. But somehow he gets away with it. Which is why he's the most formidable Christianist in the country right now, asking merely to lead a Christianist party: 30 Nov 2007 05:07 pm Busting Rudy , Giuliani"> , Media"> , Politics">
The press is getting its act together. But why were we so negligent with Bush's factual errors? Brendan Nyhan suggests:
30 Nov 2007 05:00 pm Clinton Dirty Tricks WatchThe evidence is accumulating that she has tried to rig the Black and Brown event in Iowa tomorrow night - by packing the crowd with her supporters. This isn't just unethical; it's illegal. 30 Nov 2007 04:40 pm Yglesias Award Nominee , Politics"> , Religion">
"I know the conservatives who can't stand Hillary have their reasons and their minds will never be changed. But does this woman have to be demonized so much? Listen; let's not get caught up in all this biblical talk coming from all the candidates. A relationship with God is a personal one and it should be left there. From a public policy perspective she clearly sees an intersection of the way she views her faith as it relates to fighting AIDS and many other causes. The pro-life community sees faith and the abortion issue intersecting on the other side. It's a different perspective. But when those Evangelicals rose to their feet at Rick Warren's Church, it wasn't just a sign of respect for a woman who has made it this far. It was an appreciation for her commitment to fighting AIDS. Is there anything wrong with that?" - David Brody, Christian Broadcasting Network. Is this the 2007 Yglesias Award winner? Don't Forget To Vote Here!30 Nov 2007 04:18 pm The Feminist Robert FiskFrom the annals of self-hatred:
You first, buddy. I'm still grieving for my foreskin. 30 Nov 2007 04:05 pm Face Of The DayDemocratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) pauses in a speech during a 'A Night at the Apollo' fundraiser event at the Apollo Theater November 29, 2007 in the Harlem neighborhood in New York City. This was Obama's first campaign visit to Harlem. By Hiroko Masuike/Getty Images. 30 Nov 2007 03:46 pm I-35: Highway To Heaven , Homosexuality"> , News and Commentary">
Pat Robertson puts his weight behind the notion that a highway running through the US
They have begun purity sieges around the road. Their targets? Gay bars, among other places. 30 Nov 2007 03:26 pm Capitalists Against Climate Change , Economy">
Companies with net worth of over $4 trillion sign the Bali Communique:
Meanwhile, a new draft of the Warner-Lieberman climate change bill butches it up. 30 Nov 2007 03:13 pm McCain-Huckabee 08! , Huckabee"> , McCain"> , Politics"> , Republicans">
Ross dreams. The logic is strong. The politics not so much, alas. But surely the profound weaknesses of Romney and Giuliani are beginning to sink in. 30 Nov 2007 02:58 pm Romney vs Huckabee II , Politics"> , Polls"> , Republicans">
Some interesting new ARG data in Iowa:
Then this:
In South Carolina, Huckabee has gone from 5 percent to 18 percent in a month. Romney has gone from 29 to 21 percent in the same period. New Hampshire is critical to Romney now. But one gets the feeling that he is sitting atop a souffle. If he loses Iowa, it could drop suddenly. And the South will never vote for a Mormon. That's awful; but it's true. 30 Nov 2007 02:54 pm Twists On Trysts , Giuliani"> , Politics">
Dick Polman gives a run-down of Giuliani's explanations for mistress-security-money. All five of them, at last count. 30 Nov 2007 02:50 pm Romney vs HuckabeeRomney has spent more than twenty times the money that Huckabee has in Iowa - to break even with him. 30 Nov 2007 02:24 pm The View From Your Window30 Nov 2007 02:18 pm Obama Rising , Democrats"> , Obama"> , Politics"> , Polls">
The trend is pretty clear, even from a statistically conservative graph: More from Taegen:
30 Nov 2007 01:51 pm The Foul Core Of The GOP , Conservatism"> , Debate"> , Politics"> , Republicans">
If you want to know why many of us have come to feel that the current Republican party is not our cup of tea, consider this anecdote from Joe Klein, sitting in on a focus group of Republicans during last Wednesday night's debate:
As Kevin says, "Ladies and gentlemen, your Republican base." They loved Romney, apparently. He can give them their torture without any sense that he might be soft on the gays. 30 Nov 2007 01:17 pm Real ReportingGlenn Greenwald compares the NYT's simple factual rebuttal of various Giuliani statistical inexactitudes with the Washington Post's pathetic recycling of anti-Muslim attempted smears of Barack Obama. It really was a low-point for the Downie Post. 30 Nov 2007 12:40 pm Jesse Helms Lives! , Foreign Affairs"> , Health"> , HIV/AIDS"> , Politics"> , US">
Mark Dybul is the Bush administration's Global AIDS Coordinator, and an openly gay man, much liked and respected, not least by Laura Bush and Condi Rice. He is also, alas, required to enforce the policies created by Jesse Helms almost two decades ago to hound, stigmatize and discriminate against anyone with HIV who is not an American and wants to visit, travel or immigrate to the US. Unlike every other civilized country, unlike even China, the US still retains 1980s-era policies that treat tourists and visitors with HIV as if they have malaria, barring them from ever coming in the country, or getting waivers that require them to provide invasive details on their health, be monitored by the government, be subject to deportation, and treated more brutally than anyone with any other medical condition. The other countries with the same policy: Iraq, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Sudan. Is that the company America really wants to keep? Is that part of the AIDS legacy the Bush administration wants to leave? Jesse Helms himself eventually disowned the stigma he once placed on people with HIV; and the Bush administration, to its great credit, has done a great deal to help those with AIDS and HIV in Africa and elsewhere. But that makes retaining the Helms discrimination against visitors and tourists and immigrants with HIV that much more egregious. People living with HIV are not public enemies; we are not carrying the equivalent of malaria. And at a time when the crisis of HIV is growing among African-Americans especially, the government's maintenance of a bitter stigma against the HIV-positive - declaring them in effect a threat to society and worthy of government surveillance - does immense damage to public health efforts trying to persuade people with HIV to feel less shame and access more care. On the eve of World AIDS Day, the Bush administration has now made things even worse: burdening tourists and visitors with HIV with more scrutiny than the average terror suspect. It's a grotesque waste of resources, and cruel, irrational public policy. It's World AIDS Day tomorrow. How depressing that the US should seek to commemmorate it by ratcheting up persecution of people with HIV. We desperately need a repeal of the Jesse Helms law. In the meantime, there is a way to send the government a comment on the new, more draconian regulations. Details of how to help after the jump. Continue reading "Jesse Helms Lives!" » 30 Nov 2007 12:19 pm Rudy vs Huckabee? , Giuliani"> , Huckabee"> , Politics"> , Republicans">
It would be a fascinating race if that's what it turns out to be. A reader writes:
But Huckabee represents the future of Rove's sectarian, big government party, and Giuliani the conservative past. The only thing keeping Rudy alive, I think, is his authoritarian appeal to the Jacksonian "bomb-em-round-em-up-and-torture-them" wing of the GOP. So the two natural developments of the Bush years - massive spending and untrammeled executive war-power - find their two representatives. And if you're a traditional conservative, you feel like slashing your wrists. 30 Nov 2007 11:58 am How Others LiveJust a glimpse of a market in Bangkok: 30 Nov 2007 11:43 am Christianism Watch , Gay Rights"> , US">
"We love America, please protect it from suicide and self-destruction! ... Let a stone, without the assistance of a hand, come off the rock and hit this homosexual idol right on its legs! Let this idol come down to ashes! Let this stone become a mountain and fill the whole Earth... Today we proclaim the death of the culture of death! We proclaim the victory of life! ... You, the Pharaoh of homosexualism - we will not give a hoof, a rusted nail to you! Our houses, our wives, our sons and daughters will go - and you will go bankrupt... Homosexualism is a global problem and it is only the first wave. After that comes Islamization. If we won’t stop the first wave, then the second wave won’t wait for long," - Alexey Ledyaev, head of the New Generation Church movement, based in Riga, Latvia, with congregations throughout the former Soviet Union, Germany, Israel, Argentina and the U.S.) and one of the co-founders of Watchmen On the Walls, along with Scott Lively, Kenneth Hutcherson, and Vlad Kusakin. 30 Nov 2007 11:21 am Is Black America Warming To Obama? , Democrats"> , Obama"> , Politics"> , Race">
I don't know but here are two straws in the wind:
And Juan Williams:
Obama himself is counting on Iowa to do the job, even though it has a very small black population. Why? Because one of the biggest obstacles to black support is the widespread sense that a black man can't get elected in America. If a black man can win the Iowa caucuses, they might just begin to change their minds. And if they do, then South Carolina looks much more promising for the Illinois senator. If I were Clinton, relying - again! - on her husband to gain power, I'd be worried. 30 Nov 2007 10:56 am Card vs Rove |















