After Nevada

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19 Jan 2008 10:08 pm

I see a disaster averted for Hillary--but with Obama alive and well. In the unlikely event of a Hillary victory in South Carolina, Obama could face a crisis of his own. More likely, we are headed to February 5 and quite possibly beyond in what looks like a long war of attrition.

I'm not sure what to make of Nevada as such. It was another close race, with delegates closely divvied up. Clinton won in a campaign run by the son of Nevada's Senator and Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid. Big whup. But it's a win nonetheless, and momentum matters, and Obama failed to bring enough new voters to the polls to overcome Clinton's base support. I don't think it means that much unless it's a sign that Latino voters won't back a black candidate. If that's true, several states that Obama might have won will go to Clinton. Meanwhile, we have a red-faced former president to look forward to:

Mark on your calendar Jan. 25 for an outburst by Bill Clinton somewhere in South Carolina. He has launched a tirade the day before each of his wife's victories in Nevada and New Hampshire, claiming the process was unfairly stacked against her. If this keeps up, he's going to require a stretcher by the last primary in Oregon come May.

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