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04 Sep 2008 11:53 am
It Won't Work
Nate Silver explains why:
I think some of you
are underestimating the percentage of voters for whom Sarah Palin lacks
the standing to make this critique of Barack Obama.
To many voters, she
is either entirely unknown, or is known as an US Weekly
caricature of a woman who eats mooseburgers and has a pregnant
daughter. To change someone's opinion, you have to do one of two
things. Either, you have to be a trusted voice of authority, or you
have to persuade them. Palin is not a trusted voice of authority --
she's much too new. But neither was this a persuasive
speech. It was staccato, insistent, a little corny. It preached to the
proverbial choir. It was also, as one of my commentors astutely noted,
a speech written by a man and for a man, but delivered by a woman, which produces a certain amount of cognitive dissonance.
This was the moment that McCain surrendered to the base who once despised him.
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