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25 Oct 2008 03:45 pm
Gallup On Early Voting
It doesn't seem to be skewed toward either candidate, but that means that Obama is probably ahead, according to Gallup's latest:
Obama has been ahead in Gallup Poll Daily tracking conducted while
these data were being gathered. Thus, while equal percentages of Obama
and McCain voters have voted early, there are more of the former than
of the latter, meaning that early voting generally reflects the same
Obama lead evident in the overall sample. Thus, if McCain gains rapidly
in the days left, Obama benefits, since Obama can't lose votes he has
already received. If McCain loses support rapidly, Obama will not have
the chance to pick up even more support from those who have already
voted.
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