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03 Dec 2008 02:29 pm
The GOP Rebounds?
Nate Silver analyzes Chambliss's victory:
...while proportionately lower black turnout tells part of the story, Chambliss also appeared to gain with white voters.
In certain ways, this is an awkward time for a Democrat to be running
for office. On the one hand, with the imminent end of George W. Bush's
term in office, and the fact that Barack Obama has effectively been
serving as shadow present -- Obama is generating between two and three
times as much news coverage as Bush according to Google traffic metrics
-- it has already become harder for Democrats to pin our country's
problems on the Republicans. Yes, Bush did damage to the Republican
brand that will last for years to come, but it's the Obama brand that's
strong more so than the generic Democratic one. On the other hand,
because Obama hasn't actually been in office, the Democrats do not yet
have any accomplishments to point to.
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