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05 Jan 2009 05:20 pm
Kaplan On Gaza
A reader writes:
Very interesting piece – but the core argument, that this is somehow about neutralizing Iran, really is a stretch. As the Israelis know better than anyone, there is no way they can cleanly or decisively dismantle Hamas with this invasion. The foreseeable results are: (1) inconclusive withdrawal without fundamentally damaging Hamas; (2) permanent re-occupation; or (3) the elimination of Hamas with such horrific loss of civilian life that they lose even the Sunni regimes’ tacit support (and garner world condemnation).
It’s tempting to tie this to a wider geopolitical strategy (just as it was to tie the proposed Iraq invasion to a resolution of the Israeli/Palestinian conflict), but I don’t think the Israelis are as delusional as our own neocons. I still think it has more to do with domestic Israeli politics than anything else.
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