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21 Oct 2009 07:14 pm
For Horserace Addicts
Ambers is already gaming Iowa:
The congealing conventional wisdom is that if ex-Govs. Mike
Huckabee and Sarah Palin run for president, the best way to dilute
their support is to cede them the Iowa precinct caucuses, which are
dominated by social conservatives voting on social conservative issues. For
this strategy to work, the candidate would have to set the expectations
bar quite low and publicly admit, very early on, that Huckabee and
Palin are likely to win. The candidate has to accomplish this without
alienating social conservatives. (Mitt Romney won't attribute his loss
in Iowa to anti-Mormon bias, but plenty of his advisers are willing to
go there.)
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