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08 Nov 2009 05:39 pm
Iraq, Powder Keg
Joost Hilterman in the NY Review of Books thinks 2010 could be a very bad year:
[J]ust as Odierno will be pulling out his first combat brigades,
starting in March, Iraq will be entering into a period of fractious wrangling
over the formation of a new government. If Iraqi national forces fail to impose
their control, an absence of political leadership could thus coincide with a
collapse in security; if politicians and their allied militias resort to
violence, the state, including its intelligence apparatus so critical for
maintaining internal stability, could fracture along political, ethnic, and
sectarian lines.
It's coming: the final proof that the surge failed. (And yes, the Iraqi parliament still hasn't come up with an election law because of sectarian divisions).
(Hat tip: Ricks)
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