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11 Nov 2009 04:44 pm
The Limits Of Hoffmanization, Ctd
Christopher Orr's thoughts on that Snowe poll:
Under normal circumstances, this is the kind of insurgent candidacy
that would quickly be squelched by the party establishment in the name
of holding onto a GOP seat in inhospitable terrain. And perhaps that's
still what would happen. But the establishment's clout contra the
conservative insurgents is at a historic low, and it wouldn't take
much--a Palin endorsement here, a Beck crusade there--to scramble the
usual political assumptions.
The real question, of course, is what Olympia Snowe thinks when she
sees this poll: that she's probably finished with today's GOP and
should keep her independent streak alive by voting for health care
reform (or, at least, cloture); or that she badly needs to shore up her
right flank by voting against?
Ezra Klein's take on whether Snowe would switch parties:
[Snowe] has deep personal connections to the Republican Party: Her
first husband was a Republican legislator in Maine's House of
Representatives, and her current husband is the former Republican
governor of Maine. Becoming an independent seems a lot likelier than
becoming a Democrat.
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