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10 Nov 2009 07:04 pm
The Limits Of Hoffmanization
A poll came out today showing that Olympia Snowe (R-ME) might be vulnerable to a primary challenge from the right, even though the GOP would probably lose the seat if they forced her off the ticket. Yglesias thinks she will have to switch parties:
This means that when you’re thinking about whether Snowe will support a
bill or not, the issue ultimately comes down to not triggers versus
non-triggers, or employer mandates versus free rider fees, but whether
Snowe wants to remain a Republican or not. Based on this polling, a
Snowe who votes for a comprehensive health care overhaul is basically
not going to be viable as a GOP primary candidate. Conversely, a Snowe
who votes for comprehensive health reform and switches parties would
remain a very popular general election candidate with a safe seat.
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