Archive
July 12, 2009 - July 18, 2009
Saturday, July 18, 200918 Jul 2009 08:32 pm Did Obama Promise Too Much?
by Patrick Appel Hitchens lauds this essay by Rory Stewart on Afghanistan. Stewart: It is impossible for Britain and its allies to build an Afghan state.
They have no clear picture of this promised ‘state’, and such a thing
could come only from an Afghan national movement, not as a gift from
foreigners. Is a centralised state, in any case, an appropriate model
for a mountainous country, with strong traditions of local
self-government and autonomy, significant ethnic differences, but
strong shared moral values? And even were stronger central institutions
to emerge, would they assist Western national security objectives?
Afghanistan is starting from a very low base: 30 years of investment
might allow its army, police, civil service and economy to approach the
levels of Pakistan. But Osama bin Laden is still in Pakistan, not
Afghanistan. He chooses to be there precisely because Pakistan can be
more assertive in its state sovereignty than Afghanistan and restricts
US operations. From a narrow (and harsh) US national security
perspective, a poor failed state could be easier to handle than a more
developed one: Yemen is less threatening than Iran, Somalia than Saudi
Arabia, Afghanistan than Pakistan. For another view of Afghanistan and Pakistan, David Kilcullen is always worth reading. (Photo: US Marine in Afghanistan/Joe Raedle/Getty) 18 Jul 2009 07:45 pm America's Growing Waistline, Ctdby Patrick Appel A reader writes: Don't put too much credence in the body-mass index (BMI), it does not take into account body composition. It's basically weight divided by height. You can be 6'2" and weight 225 pounds with three percent body fat or with twenty percent body fat and score the same. One of the reasons we, as Americans, have put on more weight in recent years is because our exercise habits have changed. We lift weights more (look at the difference in college and pro athletes today vs thirty years ago), which builds more muscle which weighs more than fat (by about a 2:1 ratio). My guess is Americans simply work out more today than they did in the past, and one of the byproducts is that they end up weighing more because they have more muscle mass than previous generations. Continue reading "America's Growing Waistline, Ctd" » 18 Jul 2009 07:19 pm Celebrating Cronkiteby Patrick Appel Greenwald uses Cronkite's death to bash the talking heads: Tellingly, his most celebrated and significant moment -- Greg Mitchell says "this broadcast would help save many thousands of lives, U.S. and Vietnamese, perhaps even a million" -- was when he stood up and announced that Americans shouldn't trust the statements being made about the war by the U.S. Government and military, and that the specific claims they were making were almost certainly false. In other words, Cronkite's best moment was when he did exactly that which the modern journalist today insists they must not ever do -- directly contradict claims from government and military officials and suggest that such claims should not be believed. These days, our leading media outlets won't even use words that are disapproved of by the Government.
18 Jul 2009 06:53 pm The Era Of Peace?by Patrick Appel Steven Pinker argues that violence is declining: In the decade of Darfur and Iraq, that statement might seem hallucinatory or even obscene. But if we consider the evidence, we find that the decline of violence is a fractal phenomenon: We can see the decline over millennia, centuries, decades, and years. When the archeologist Lawrence Keeley examined casualty rates among contemporary hunter-gatherers—which is the best picture we have of how people might have lived 10,000 years ago—he discovered that the likelihood that a man would die at the hands of another man ranged from a high of 60 percent in one tribe to 15 percent at the most peaceable end. In contrast, the chance that a European or American man would be killed by another man was less than one percent during the 20th century, a period of time that includes both world wars. If the death rate of tribal warfare had prevailed in the 20th century, there would have been two billion deaths rather than 100 million, horrible as that is.
18 Jul 2009 06:12 pm Outing Iran: Gaz
by Chris Bodenner A reader writes:
18 Jul 2009 05:17 pm The Ugly Shoe Bubbleby Patrick Appel The WaPo reported yesterday that the company which makes Crocs is in trouble. Rob Horning has no sympathy: I think that it is safe to assume that Crocs might have found itself in
some trouble regardless of the recession. It always amazes me that
companies like this get hyped in the financial press; it seems a bit
irresponsible and cynical. The unspoken subtext seems to be this:
Everyone knows that eventually the trends that such companies are built
on will pass, but everyone also believes that the other investors are
more naive than they are and have bought into the trend unthinkingly.
Everyone then wants to exploit the other’s presumed ignorance, assuming
some other fool will be left holding the shares when the day of
reckoning comes. And the press is there to cheer this game along,
pointing to how much growth the company has seen during its peak
trendiness, encouraging the extrapolation of such unsustainable figures
into the future. I wonder if all the analysts who recommended Crocs a
few years ago (or the ones, probably the same ones, who recommended
Krispy Kreme in the late 1990s) feel any embarrassment at all.
18 Jul 2009 05:01 pm A Sea Of People, Ctdby Patrick Appel A reader writes:
18 Jul 2009 04:38 pm Cutting Both Ways, Ctdby Patrick Appel A reader writes: I strongly disagree with Mr. Kain's assessment of your charts on the effective tax rate of top earners. As someone who has worked in international economics, I have produced a lifetime's worth of charts, and I would hardly label your charts deceiving. Mr. Kain's charts, on the other hand, excel at being uninformative. Continue reading "Cutting Both Ways, Ctd" » 18 Jul 2009 04:20 pm Mental Health Breakby Chris Bodenner Claymation and violence go together like Palin and the Dish (don't miss the man-eating piano at the end): Middle Distance Runner "The Unbeliever" from maxwell sorensen on Vimeo. 18 Jul 2009 03:53 pm Growing From E-mailby Patrick Appel DiA interviews Slate editor Jacob Weisberg: The tone of good web writing grows out of email. It's more direct, personal, colloquial, urgent, witty, efficient. It doesn't waste your time. It reflects that engagement, responsiveness and haste of web surfers, as opposed to the more general passivity of print readers. It integrates the use of links into the creative and intellectual process as opposed to tacking them on afterwards. And it uses multimedia in an organic rather than an ornamental way.
18 Jul 2009 03:45 pm Ant Suturingby Chris Bodenner Since my early childhood I've been fascinated by ants. The latest reason:
Another blog examines the practice in ancient texts. 18 Jul 2009 03:34 pm Face Of The Day
18 Jul 2009 03:03 pm America's Growing Waistlineby Patrick Appel The New Yorker addresses obesity: Men are now on average seventeen pounds heavier than they were in the late seventies, and for women that figure is even higher: nineteen pounds. The proportion of overweight children, age six to eleven, has more than doubled, while the proportion of overweight adolescents, age twelve to nineteen, has more than tripled. (According to the standards of the United States military, forty per cent of young women and twenty-five per cent of young men weigh too much to enlist.) As the average person became heavier, the very heavy became heavier still; more than twelve million Americans now have a body-mass index greater than forty, which, for someone who is five feet nine, entails weighing more than two hundred and seventy pounds. Hospitals have had to buy special wheelchairs and operating tables to accommodate the obese, and revolving doors have had to be widened—the typical door went from about ten feet to about twelve feet across. An Indiana company called Goliath Casket has begun offering triple-wide coffins with reinforced hinges that can hold up to eleven hundred pounds. It has been estimated that Americans’ extra bulk costs the airlines a quarter of a billion dollars’ worth of jet fuel annually.
18 Jul 2009 02:27 pm Foie Gras Jelly Donut, $16
by Patrick Appel Scott Gold found one on a menu: Le Pigeon’s executive chef, Gabriel Rucker — a 2007 Food and Wine Best New Chef — clearly knew what he was doing. He’s become part of a new breed of cook, the kind that brashly gives the middle finger salute to all conventional wisdom regarding food, health and nutrition. Like Mario Batali’s generous employment of lardo crudo or Au Pied de Cochon’s Martin Picard topping his signature poutine (french fries covered in cheese curds and gravy) with, yes, foie gras, Rucker joins the movement of culinary maximalism currently sweeping America’s food scene. Especially in Portland, as evidenced by the borderline insane “Voodoo Doughnut Cheeseburger” at The Original, and Voodoo’s own Maple Bacon Bar. This trend is obviously a backlash, a thumbing of collective noses against years of picky eaters, sauce-on-siders, vegans and other dietary malcontents so frequently bemoaned by fine-dining chefs, as well as a celebration of that delightful category of ingredients that will likely send you — both literally and figuratively — to heaven. Moderation and good common dietary sense have no place here.
18 Jul 2009 02:16 pm The "Good" Warby Patrick Appel Peter Bergen thinks Afghanistan is winnable: Even the most generous estimates of the size of the Taliban force hold it to be no more than 20,000 men, while authoritative estimates of the numbers of Afghans on the battlefield at any given moment in the war against the Soviets range up to 250,000. The Taliban insurgency today is only around 10 percent the size of what the Soviets faced. And while today’s Afghan insurgents are well financed, in part by the drug trade, this backing is not on the scale of the financial and military support that the anti-Communist guerrillas enjoyed in the 1980s. The mujahideen were the recipients of billions of dollars of American and Saudi aid, large-scale Pakistani training, and sophisticated U.S. military hardware such as highly effective anti-aircraft Stinger missiles, which ended the Soviets’ command of the air. I'm not as optimistic, but food for thought. 18 Jul 2009 01:56 pm The Most Trusted Man In Americaby Patrick Appel In 1976 David Halberstam wrote a big two-part article on CBS and Walter Cronkite. Here is just the part on Cronkite. A taste: His was a profession filled with immense egos, crowded with very mortal, often quite insecure men blown overnight to superstar status. Cronkite too had considerable ego, but unlike many of his colleagues he had considerable control over it, and his vanity rarely showed in public. He knew by instinct the balance between journalism and show biz; he knew you needed to be good at the latter, but that you must never take it too far. He was enough of an old wire-service man to be uneasy with his new success and fame. He was just sophisticated enough never to show his sophistication 18 Jul 2009 01:20 pm The World's Fastest Everythingby Patrick Appel
18 Jul 2009 12:25 pm Where Are The Conservative Health Care Wonks?by Patrick Appel Drum investigates: [T]he fundamental conservative problem: you can either have universal
coverage or you can have a quasi-free market. There's no way to have
both, but no one is willing to say publicly that it's OK to leave
millions of people without healthcare. So instead conservatives hem
and haw and nibble around the edges with things like HSAs and tax
exclusions, even though these ideas don't do anything to make
healthcare coverage more widely and securely available. No free market
solution can do that. E.D. Kain responds. 18 Jul 2009 12:00 pm A Sea Of People, Ctdby Patrick Appel A reader writes: It is indeed a month old, and was linked (at least) from here (scroll down to the update at 1:50 pm). I can't tell whether it was linked by Andrew (my guess would be yes),
because it seems I can only go back 19 or 20 pages, to around June 24,
before getting an error from the server. I'm not quite certain why I was determined to find it, given all the
other things I would still like to accomplish today. I suppose the
biggest factor was simply the importance of accurate reporting - I find
it incredibly frustrating that I have yet to see any truly credible
crowd estimates, for any of these demonstrations, and it seems the best
we can do is at least try to make sure we're looking at the right
videos.
18 Jul 2009 11:39 am "It Is Not Worthy Of Humanity To Give Up"by Patrick Appel Hilzoy signs off. Her voice will be sorely missed. 18 Jul 2009 11:35 am The View From Your Window
Bang Pat Village, Thailand, 12.30 pm 18 Jul 2009 11:12 am Why Would Saudi Arabia Shoot Itself In The Foot?by Patrick Appel [T]he country that has the greatest potential to influence internal
Iranian affairs in the short term is Saudi Arabia. The Iranian economy is
heavily reliant on oil revenue, and each one dollar drop in oil prices is
nearly one billion dollars of lost annual revenue for Iran. If Saudi
Arabia—whose relations with Iran have deteriorated since Ahmadinejad became
president—were to quietly increase output in order to provoke a price drop it
could prove devastating to Iran, far more damaging than any sanctions that are
now being deliberated.
(Hat tip: Andrew Sprung) 18 Jul 2009 10:30 am What Are Polls Good For?by Patrick Appel John Sides responds to Conor Clarke. I'm with Sides. 18 Jul 2009 09:10 am Wiiii!!!, Ctdby Chris Bodenner A reader writes:
18 Jul 2009 08:42 am Want A Job?
by Patrick Appel 18 Jul 2009 07:52 am Is Mahmoud Mellowing?by Chris Bodenner Juan Cole writes:
18 Jul 2009 01:29 am Cronkite, RIPby Chris Bodenner A legend at work: Friday, July 17, 200917 Jul 2009 08:51 pm Face Of The Day
17 Jul 2009 08:41 pm Departing the DishBy Conor Clarke I expect this to be my last post for the Dish. I'm leaving for Argentina tonight, for a week of completely pointless wandering. I've packed one novel (the endless Infinite Jest) and I have absolutely no plans to find a computer or read an email or write a blog post for the next nine days. That said, It's been great experience blogging here, if short-lived. (It's sort of like getting one of those invincibility stars in Mario Brothers: You can squish a lot of goombas and turtles, but you know in the back of your head that it's only going to last 30 seconds.) And it's been an especially great pleasure reading the many emails that I've received over the past few days (and responding when my carpal tunnels have been up to it). I hope some of you will join me over on my own blog, where I'll be back on July 27. 17 Jul 2009 07:41 pm Daily Chart: The Brighter Side of the Budget FiascoBy Conor Clarke There's really no getting around the fact that the country's long-term budget outlook is a massive trainwreck waiting to happen: an aging population and growing health-care costs are a tagteam Uncle Sam can't handle. That said, I thought this one chart from Congressional Budget Office director Doug Elmendorf should offer a small amount of hope (and I'm pretty sure you can click this for a bigger, more hopeful version):
17 Jul 2009 07:10 pm Friday Linksby Conor Friedersdorf -- This is one of the more delightful examples of public art that I've seen. -- Mental Floss looks at eight very hairy people. -- What do blood diamonds have to do with Goldman Sachs? -- "Catholicism's mysterious appeal to intellectual converts." -- If you've ever been involved in the making of a corporate Power Point presentation, this story is for you 17 Jul 2009 06:22 pm Better Ways to Pay For Health Care: Taxing Health Benefits, Ctdby Patrick Appel A reader writes: One minor nit-pick. It is very common for people to discuss how no-one
pays taxes for their employer provided health care benefits. This is
flat out untrue. I pay taxes on the majority of my health care
benefits from my provider: those that cover my partner. Because of
DOMA, my partner's benefit costs (which are higher than the employee
rate) are fully taxable while my co-workers do not have to pay taxes
for their spouses' health care benefits. It is very frustrating to
hear people who espouse "no special laws!" when opposing gay rights who
then go on to complain at the merest possibility that they might have
to pay taxes on this portion of their compensation from their employer.
I support the tax on health care benefits for the reasons Conor Clarke listed, but I add a fifth: fairness. 17 Jul 2009 06:00 pm What the Media Needs...by Conor Friedersdorf ... is more content like the stuff produced by This American Life. Though I am a partisan of long form storytelling, here I am lauding another aspect of that great radio program: its ability to consistently broadcast voices that sound different from what we normally hear when we get the news. If your news diet is mainly newspapers, you get quotes so short that they're mostly stripped of any personality. Television news gives the misleading impression that everyone in America speaks in the accent-less manner of the typical anchor. But if you listen for very long to This American Life, you're reminded how big a country America is, all the regional accents it encompasses, and its delightful regional expressions -- and by extension, you gain perspective about the size and diversity of our polity. For me, this underscores the wisdom of deciding many issues at the local level. I am sure others draw different lessons, perhaps as worthwhile. The point is that America is a much bigger, broader place than is generally portrayed in mass media, and we'd all understand the country a bit better if more media outlets did as good a job of rendering that as Ira Glass and team. 17 Jul 2009 05:32 pm Sonia Sotomayor and Affirmative ActionBy Conor Clarke When I see a walking, talking anachronism like Pat Buchanan say on MSNBC that Sonia Sotomayor isn't qualified for the Supreme Court because she's an affirmative action baby (via Ta-Nehisi Coates and Ezra Klein), I think back to one of the favorite conservative criticisms of race-based affirmative action: It will forever tar the accomplishments of its beneficiaries. In a way, the fact that Buchanan's worry is so widely shared is obvious proof that this criticism is true. And, in a way, it just proves that the criticism is self-fulfilling. If the same people who doubt the efficacy of affirmative action also doubt its beneficiaries, there's nothing terribly interesting about the latter critique. Mostly, however, I think it underlines the importance of thinking and talking about affirmative action as a program designed to alleviate a lack of opportunity (e.g., systematic racism, poverty) rather than accomplish some secondary goal (like better classroom discussions). Continue reading "Sonia Sotomayor and Affirmative Action" » 17 Jul 2009 05:17 pm A Woman Injuredby Chris Bodenner One of the more dramatic clips from today: 17 Jul 2009 05:15 pm Two Can Play This Blame Gameby Chris Bodenner Nico makes one of the sharpest points I've seen of today's protests:
17 Jul 2009 04:59 pm A Sea Of People, Ctdby Chris Bodenner A reader writes:
I had had a vague feeling that was the case as well. But Raye Man Kojast? is usually a reliable source, and in the immediacy of the moment I leaned towards posting. I just got done scanning several weeks of the Dish and couldn't spot the same video. If anyone happens to know where that same footage is posted on the Dish or elsewhere, I'd be grateful to correct the record. Update: Regardless of that particular video's veracity, this point remains: Hundreds of thousands of green-clad protesters (at least two
eye-witnesses told me that it may have been closer to one million)
flooded the streets after Rafsanjani’s speech.
17 Jul 2009 04:54 pm The Limits Of The Anti-Tax Mantraby Patrick Appel Bruce Bartlett has column a few days ago whacking Republicans for opposing any and all taxes. Money quote: [It] would be better to pay for health reform some other way. But if
Republicans refuse to propose any alternative, insisting instead that
taxes should never be raised for any reason, they pretty much guarantee
that Democrats will raise the top rate. If that happens, Republicans
will bear some responsibility as well. Drum seconds him. Ezra Klein follows up with an interview today. 17 Jul 2009 04:32 pm The Key Pointsby Patrick Appel From Muhammad Sahimi's analysis of Rafsanjani's speech: Rafsanjani’s sermons demonstrated the glaring fissures in the leadership of the Islamic Republic. The fact that, (a) he called the present conditions a crisis; (b) acknowledged that many clerics and ayatollahs are unhappy with what has happened, contrary to the claims by the hard-liners that the clergy are unified behind them; (c) stated that whatever he speaks of are the results of his consultations with two powerful organ of the Islamic Republic, namely, the Expediency Council and the Assembly of Experts; (d) he did not mention even once the Supreme Leader; (e) he acknowledged that people doubt the election, that people’s trust in the system had been destroyed, and he blamed the Voice and Visage of the Islamic Republic and the Guardian Council for it, and (f) always contrasted what the hard-liners do with what the Prophet and Imam Ali did, in order to demonstrate the falsehood of their claims that they are the true followers of the two revered Islamic figures, demonstrated that he has sided with the people in the crisis. That is bound to reinvigorate the democratic movement.
17 Jul 2009 04:20 pm Mental Health Breakby Chris Bodenner An orgy of electronic pop and construction paper: Wax Stag 'And How' OFFICIAL VIDEO from RadarMusicVideos on Vimeo. 17 Jul 2009 03:54 pm Same As He Ever Wasby Patrick Appel Roubini says that econopundits have mistakenly labeled him bullish: [Y]es there is light at the end of the tunnel for the US and the global economy. But as I have consistently argued, the recession will continue through the end of the year, and the recovery will be weak and at risk of a double-dip, as the challenge of getting right the timing and size of the exit strategy for monetary and fiscal policy easing will be daunting.
17 Jul 2009 03:18 pm The Abortion Debate, Cont'dby Conor Friedersdorf A few days ago I wrote a carefully worded post on the abortion debate. Though I find my argument difficult to sum up in a single sentence, it's basically that prevailing social norms in progressive circles send men a mixed signal: should their girlfriend become pregnant, the decision about whether or not to carry the pregnancy to term is hers alone; but should she choose to have the child, he is expected to be as fully invested in its gestation, birth and upbringing as she is. Personally, I haven't any objection to a society where males are held responsible for their progeny. There is no circumstance in which I'd abandon a women with whom I had sex, or my own offspring. Nevertheless, I think that progressive social norms on this matter work at cross purposes with one another: if men think that whether or not to carry a fetus to term is the sole province of women, they are less likely to be equally invested in raising a child they fathered. "Her body, her choice," these men say to themselves. "The fact that she bore the child must mean that she wanted it -- if that's her decision, why should I bear the cost for it?" Again, I am repulsed by any man who takes that attitude toward a child he fathered. It is nevertheless my estimation that a "my body, my choice" approach to abortion marginally increases the prevalence of that attitude. Damon Linker wrote a thoughtful rebuttal to my post: Feminists and progressives want abortion to be legal, taken out of the political
sphere. Fine. But these goal do not require that abortion be rendered
morally unproblematic. And it's a good thing, too, because the decision
about whether to terminate a pregnancy is and always will be, among the
other things it is, a moral decision, whether or not the decision is legal. I agree. In my original post, I tried my best to focus on a narrow argument, obscuring my views on abortion generally. Perhaps by doing so I wrote a post that seemed to implicitly agree that abortion is an amoral act. I actually don't think that, and I'm grateful to Mr. Linker for correctly clarifying that "abortion is not, and will never be, a matter of moral indifference. A man can fiercely defend a woman's (public) right to choose an abortion without state interference while also passionately trying to persuade his girlfriend (in private) to carry their (not her) baby to term." Continue reading "The Abortion Debate, Cont'd" » 17 Jul 2009 02:46 pm Is Sotomayor's Diabetes Fair Game?By Conor Clarke When I saw this headline in my RSS reader -- "One question the senators did not ask: how's her health?" -- I assumed it was going to be a story about how those gosh-darn ungentlemanly career politicians failed to ask Sonia Sotomayor about her recently broken ankle. But it isn't. It's a story about how the senators failed to inquire after Sotomayor's diabetes, which she has had since the age of eight. And the article is not concerned with kindness, but miserly moral mathematics: because it is unlikely "that Sotomayor will have the longevity of someone such as Justice John Paul Stevens," Sotomayor’s "seat could more quickly be filled by a Republican than someone without a chronic illness." Should they have asked about this? Continue reading "Is Sotomayor's Diabetes Fair Game?" » 17 Jul 2009 02:22 pm Photos From Today
by Patrick Appel (Hat tip: Tehran Bureau) 17 Jul 2009 01:46 pm Who's Afraid of the World Wide Web?by Conor Friedersdorf A long piece at GQ tells the disturbing story of Tony Stancl, an 18 year old high school senior who created a fake female identity on Facebook, flirted with male classmates by Internet chat, and successfully encouraged hundreds of them to send along naked photographs. These he kept on his computer. The unluckiest victims were subsequently blackmailed. The made up female would threaten to release the photographs unless the boys performed oral or anal sex on "my friend Tony." Some boys agreed, and allowed that to be photographed too. It is difficult to imagine a more striking cautionary tale for teenagers who inhabit the Internet age. Continue reading "Who's Afraid of the World Wide Web?" » 17 Jul 2009 01:40 pm Health Insurance And Organ Donationby Patrick Appel The LA Times agrees with the first reader, though it would be great if this was the standard. 17 Jul 2009 01:15 pm The View From Your Window
Palos Verde, California, 9.30 am 17 Jul 2009 01:03 pm Why Do You Kill Your Brother?by Patrick Appel NIAC gets an eyewitness report from "a very close friend" in Iran:
17 Jul 2009 12:46 pm Michael Gerson Has A Very Strange Definition of "Context"By Conor Clarke Washington Post columnist Michael Gerson is disgusted by this response from Ruth Bader Ginsburg, published in an interview with the New York Times Magazine: Q: "Are you talking about the distances women have to travel because in parts of the country, abortion is essentially unavailable, because there are so few doctors and clinics that do the procedure? And also, the lack of Medicaid abortions for poor women?" Justice Ginsburg: "Yes, the ruling about that surprised me. [Harris v. McRae -- in 1980 the court upheld the Hyde Amendment, which forbids the use of Medicaid for abortions.] Frankly I had thought that at the time Roe was decided, there was concern about population growth and particularly growth in populations that we don't want to have too many of. So that Roe was going to be then set up for Medicaid funding for abortion." After reprinting this quote, Gerson writes: "A statement like this should not be taken out of context." That's actually the very next sentence. Which is odd, because Gerson has ... taken Ginsburg out of context. Her full response to the question reads: Continue reading "Michael Gerson Has A Very Strange Definition of "Context"" » 17 Jul 2009 12:37 pm More Video From Todayby Patrick Appel Tehran Bureau has a round-up.
July 12, 2009 - July 18, 2009
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