The Egypt Factor

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A useful take on what could really make a difference in Libya:

Gaddafi can win without his air force. Tanks and artillery beat courage and small arms every time. What is actually needed is active military intervention on the ground and in the air by disciplined, well-trained Arab forces, sent by a revolutionary Arab government that is in sympathy with the Libyan rebels. So where is the Egyptian army when the Libyans need it?

Egypt has an open border with the rebel-controlled east of Libya, and just one brigade of the Egyptian army would be enough to stop Gaddafi’s ground forces in their tracks. The Egyptian air force could easily shoot down any of Gaddafi’s aircraft that dared to take off, especially if it had early warning from European or American AWACS aircraft. The Egyptian army would probably not need to go all the way to Tripoli, although it could easily do so if necessary. Just the fact of Egyptian military intervention would probably convince most of the Libyan troops still supporting Gaddafi that it is time to change sides.

(Photo: Egyptian army tanks are deployed in front of the monument to the unknown soldier in Cairo on February 17, 2011. By Pedro Ugarte/AFP/Getty Images)

2006-2011 archives for The Daily Dish, featuring Andrew Sullivan